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As early as 2017, AI algorithms could detect polyps with 86% accuracy , while expert doctors only achieved 74% accuracy. Since then, machine learning models have reached accuracies as high as 96.4%. In practice, AImodels wont replace specialists. alone will be short 86,000 physicians by 2036 , something needs to change.
This is a bounding exercise and isn't supposed to be literally predicting that transformative AI will arrive in the form of a single AI system trained in a single massive run, but here I am interpreting the report that way for concreteness and simplicity.
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