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alone will be short 86,000 physicians by 2036 , something needs to change. Endoscopy is a complex, specialized process, but equipping prospective specialists with the necessary skills and knowledge is often too slow to keep pace with rising demand. Considering how the U.S.
Tier 2, which includes sales, transportation, and more specialized healthcare jobs, is projected to see adoption by 2036. Morgan Stanley categorizes these industries into three tiers: Tier 1 includes sectors such as forestry, farming, food preparation, and personal care, where adoption is expected to begin around 2028.
As explained in the next footnote, I use the report's figures for transformative AI arriving on the soon side (around 2036). That implies that the 10^30 FLOP needed to train a transformative model could run 10^16 seconds' worth of transformative AI models, or about 300 million years' worth.
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